(CBS)- The Patriots discover themselves in an uncommon place this Sunday, coming into their prime-time matchup with the Seattle Seahawks as underdogs. It’s the primary time since Week 1 of 2016, when Tom Brady was serving a four-game suspension, that the Patriots haven’t been listed because the favorites in a sport.
One massive motive for that, based on SportsLine senior analyst Larry Hartstein, is the observe file of opposing quarterback Russell Wilson in prime-time matchups.
“Seattle in prime-time, Russell Wilson, he often will get the money. 72% of the time they’ve lined in prime-time and 80% when they’re laying three or extra factors,” stated Hartstein. “So an excellent wager below the lights.”
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Wilson has discovered success towards the Patriots within the common season throughout his profession, profitable each matchups and throwing for 641 yards and 6 touchdowns within the course of. However, there’s that small matter of the Tremendous Bowl, wherein the Patriots had been capable of decide Wilson off on the aim line.
Historical past must be thrown apart a bit on this sport, nevertheless, because the Patriots are a vastly totally different crew this time round. Gone is Brady, in is Cam Newton and with him, an offense targeted on controlling the clock and punishing opponents on the bottom.
“That is how they wish to play with Cam Newton. They wish to run the ball they wish to management the clock. And what? They used 33 seconds on common of the play clock,” stated Hartstein. “They wish to gradual the sport down, save that protection, run the ball. They usually’re going to maintain doing that.”
That technique labored like clockwork in a Week 1 win over the Dolphins, with Newton tallying a pair of speeding touchdowns in a 21-11 win. It’s a mode of play that the Seahawks are used to, having been generally known as a run-first crew in earlier 12 months. However, that fashion was out the window of their opener because the ‘Hawks threw 35 occasions and operating simply 20 in a 38-25 win over the Atlanta Falcons.
Nonetheless, Hartstein sees that ratio coming again to Earth a bit on this matchup, because the Patriots present a a lot stiffer check within the secondary.
“Russell Wilson 31 of 35, the Falcons secondary had no solutions and in reality weren’t even close to loads of the receivers that caught these 31 passes, however I feel they’ll be just a little extra balanced, as a result of the Patriots secondary is effectively above common, and Seattle does have an identification of operating the ball,” stated Hartstein.
If that stability involves fruition, this might be a fast-moving, low-scoring affair which has Hartstein trying on the below play.
“Provided that the Patriots are going to stay to that identification, and I feel the Seahawks get again to being balanced, I’d have a look at the below 45 right here on Sunday Evening Soccer,” stated Hartstein.
The Patriots are listed as four-point underdogs coming into Sunday evening’s affair. Kickoff is slated for 8:20 p.m. Jap Time.
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