NFL Week Four AFC East Picks: ‘If Miami Can Win Turnover Battle, Might Pull Upset’ Towards Seahawks Says SportsLine’s Kenny White

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(CBS Native)- Week Four of the NFL season kicks off tonight with the Denver Broncos visiting MetLife Stadium to tackle the New York Jets. One other week of video games means one other week of alternatives for followers to select up some wins whereas their staff does. And to assist accomplish that, we’ve introduced in SportsLine analyst and “Wizard of Odds” Kenny White to interrupt down all the video games from the AFC East together with his analytical eye.

All occasions listed are Jap

Denver Broncos @ New York Jets (-1), Thursday @ 8:25 p.m. NFL Community

The Broncos and Jets every enter this sport at 0-3, and neither staff has appeared overly spectacular of their first couple of outings. Each rank within the backside three of the league in factors per sport. The Jets are lifeless final averaging 12.Three factors per outing, whereas the Broncos are 30th within the league at 15 factors per sport. (The opposite New York staff, the Giants, is in between them at 12.7).

It’s that lack of firepower that has White wanting on the level complete of simply 41 and considering the below is the very best play.

“Final week, the typical complete was 51 factors, and right here now we have a complete of 41,” stated White in an interview with CBS Native’s Katie Johnston. “However, I like an below. It’s going to be a low-scoring sport. Sam Darnold and the Jets are very sluggish on offense, the Broncos protection has been nice, so my play is below. Eventually, the scores have to begin coming down a bit.”

Wanting extra long-term for the 2 groups, the playoffs seem to be a far-fetched thought, as solely six groups ever have began the season 0-Three and made the postseason. However, there may be some latest historical past of it with the Houston Texans undertaking the feat in 2018. With Broncos quarterback Drew Lock set to return again within the coming weeks and the aforementioned stable protection, White sees Denver as having the higher probability of constructing the postseason.

“The Broncos proper now 10-1 to make the playoffs. You may get 20-1 on the Jets although,” stated White. “The Broncos have the higher probability of constructing the playoffs at that 10-1 worth.”

Seattle Seahawks @ Miami Dolphins (+6), Sunday @ 1:00 p.m. FOX

This sport would seem, on paper a minimum of, to be a simple win for the Seahawks. Seattle has one of many main candidates within the MVP dialogue in Russell Wilson and so they enter with a 3-Zero file in opposition to Miami’s 1-2. However, White sees some worth within the Dolphins this Sunday due to the lengthy journey that the ‘Hawks should make for this one.

“They arrive in off a win however they’re making Seattle journey. Seattle to Miami is the longest journey of any NFL staff to a different NFL staff,” stated White. “Plus, that 3-Zero begin by the Seahawks, they performed some actually good soccer groups. They could be overlooking the Dolphins slightly bit. And in these video games, they have been very lucky. So, if Miami can win the turnover battle on this sport or simply keep even, I believe they will keep shut and perhaps pull an upset right here.”

An upset Sunday can be shocking, although it wouldn’t be the primary time we’ve seen a West Coast staff falter after making the lengthy journey to the East Coast for a 1 p.m. begin. Both method, White has been very impressed by the play of Russell Wilson, calling him his favourite to win MVP over Patrick Mahomes.

“Russell Wilson has performed wonderful and I believe Russell Wilson has the sting proper now. I can’t imagine the video games he’s had. All of the landing passes, he’s had 5 landing passes again to again weeks. Mahomes has numbers as nicely however not fairly pretty much as good as Russell Wilson’s,” stated White.

New England Patriots @ Kansas Metropolis Chiefs (-6.5), Sunday @ 4:25 p.m. CBS

We’ve seen this matchup earlier than, however this 12 months is just not fairly the identical. The Patriots enter with a brand new quarterback below middle in Cam Newton, following Tom Brady’s departure for Tampa Bay. New England additionally had a number of gamers decide out of the season together with a few key leaders on the defensive facet of the ball.

Nonetheless, the Patriots are 2-1, and that’s ok to earn them a B+ grade from White.

“Good begin to the season, I’m going to say a B+. Can’t give them an A as a result of they did lose a sport, however I’ll give them a B+ as a result of they’ve misplaced quite a lot of items,” stated White. “The protection is down slightly bit, the offense remains to be attempting to get to know one another, however right here now we have Invoice Belichick 2-1 out of the gate, so B+. Invoice would most likely price them decrease than that, and he’s going to try to get them to an A. He’s an important coach, the Patriots have an excellent probability to make the playoffs.”

Whereas the Patriots are thought of among the many playoff contenders, their opponent is at the moment thought of to be in the next tier. Patrick Mahomes and firm are 3-Zero following final Sunday’s 34-20 win over the Baltimore Ravens, and they’re the favorites to make a clear sweep of their staff goals this 12 months.

“4-1 proper now to win the Tremendous Bowl, +220 mainly 2-to-1 to win the AFC, and to win their division? -1300, so that you’d should put up $130 {dollars} to win $10, so, yeah, they’re large favorites to win all three,” stated White.

Buffalo Payments @ Las Vegas Raiders (+3), Sunday 4:25 p.m. CBS

If the Patriots have been to make the postseason, as of proper now they’d be a Wild Card staff, as a result of the Buffalo Payments have gone undefeated by three weeks. It hasn’t been straightforward, or essentially good for Payments’ followers blood stress, however the staff stands 3-0.

The query, nevertheless, is whether or not or not observers can belief this staff contemplating they held off the Dolphins 31-28 after which wanted a late drive to beat the Rams final week after giving up a 28-Three lead. Nonetheless, it was that poise proven by Josh Allen to carry the Payments again late in opposition to the Rams that has White believing the Payments are for actual.

“The wonderful comeback final week in opposition to the Rams, I used to be actually shocked about that, as a result of while you relinquish a lead like that 28-Three and the opponent comes again to take the lead, 31-28, it’s exhausting to return again and win a sport like that. However, Josh Allen did. He took his staff proper down the sector. That must be nice for confidence,” stated White. They’ve an important protection and Josh Allen has been spectacular. The Payments are for actual this 12 months, they will be a enjoyable staff to observe all the way in which down the stretch.”

What picks are you able to make with confidence in Week 4, and which Tremendous Bowl contender goes down exhausting? Go to SportsLine now to see which NFL groups are successful greater than 50 % of simulations, all from the mannequin that’s up over $7,500 on its top-rated picks. 

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